Pandemics

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holley
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Health Problems and COVID

Post by holley » Fri Jun 26, 2020 12:06 pm

“We thought this was only a respiratory virus. Turns out, it goes after the pancreas. It goes after the heart. It goes after the liver, the brain, the kidney and other organs. We didn’t appreciate that in the beginning,” said Dr. Eric Topol, a cardiologist and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, California.

In addition to respiratory distress, patients with COVID-19 can experience blood clotting disorders that can lead to strokes, and extreme inflammation that attacks multiple organ systems. The virus can also cause neurological complications that range from headache, dizziness and loss of taste or smell to seizures and confusion.


https://www.reuters.com/article/us-heal ... e=facebook
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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New Threat

Post by holley » Tue Jun 30, 2020 9:59 am

The World Health Organization is warning “the worst is yet to come” as countries across the globe are experiencing new spikes, with some putting the brakes on reopening.

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus: “We all want this to be over. We all want to get on with our lives. But the hard reality is, this is not even close to being over. Although many countries have made some progress, globally the pandemic is actually speeding up.”
Scientists in China are reporting a strain of flu virus found in pigs has become more infectious to humans. In a new study, the scientists warn the virus has the potential to become a pandemic virus, but other scientists have downplayed the risk posed by the virus, which has been circulating for five years.
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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Coming next?

Post by holley » Tue Jun 30, 2020 12:51 pm

Dr. Anthony Fauci says new virus in China has traits of 2009 swine flu and 1918 pandemic flu


https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/30/dr-anth ... c-flu.html
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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10 week nation wide lockdown

Post by holley » Wed Jul 01, 2020 10:41 am

Bill Gates estimates the US needs at least 10 more weeks of nationwide shutdown to minimize the human and economic toll of coronavirus.

"The window for making important decisions hasn't closed," he argues in a new Washington Post op-ed.

Gates also thinks we can get a vaccine in less than 18 months, which would be the fastest a vaccine has ever been developed.

https://www.businessinsider.com/bill-ga ... red-2020-4
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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Double Pandemic ?

Post by holley » Fri Jul 17, 2020 8:25 am

" I first worried about the possibility of a double pandemic in March. Four months ago, it felt needlessly alarmist to fret about two rare events happening simultaneously. But since then, federal fecklessness and rushed reopenings have wasted the benefits of months of social distancing. About 60,000 new cases of COVID-19 are being confirmed every day, and death rates are rising. My worry from March feels less far-fetched. If America could underperform so badly against one rapidly spreading virus, how would it fare against two?

COVID-19 has made clear what happens when even powerful, wealthy countries are inadequately prepared for rare but ruinous events. Months into the pandemic, international alliances are strained, resources are diminished, and experts are demoralized. The longer this fiasco drags on, the more vulnerable America becomes to further disasters: inbound hurricanes, wildfires, and many other viruses that lie in wait."

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/arch ... lu/614152/
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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Long term symptoms

Post by holley » Tue Jul 21, 2020 8:31 am

The notion that most cases are mild and brief bolsters the belief that only the sick and elderly need isolate themselves, and that everyone else can get infected and be done with it. “It establishes a framework in which ‘not hiding’ from the disease looks a manageable and sensible undertaking,” writes Felicity Callard, a geographer at the University of Glasgow, who is on day 77. As the pandemic discourse turns to talk of a second wave, long-haulers who are still grappling with the consequences of the first wave are frustrated. “I’ve been very concerned by friends and family who just aren’t taking this seriously because they think you’re either asymptomatic or dead,” said Hannah Davis, an artist from New York City, who is on day 71. “This middle ground has been hellish.”

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/arch ... hs/612679/
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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Ed Jong

Post by holley » Sat Sep 12, 2020 3:02 pm

“Army ants will sometimes walk in circles until they die. The workers navigate by smelling the pheromone trails of workers in front of them, while laying down pheromones for others to follow. If these trails accidentally loop back on themselves, the ants are trapped. They become a thick, swirling vortex of bodies that resembles a hurricane as viewed from space. They march endlessly until they’re felled by exhaustion or dehydration. The ants can sense no picture bigger than what’s immediately ahead. They have no coordinating force to guide them to safety. They are imprisoned by a wall of their own instincts. This phenomenon is called the death spiral. I can think of no better metaphor for the United States of America’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

I wrote a new piece about the 9 errors of intuition that people keep making during the pandemic, trapping us in a spiral of bad decisions & policies. This is a guide to thinking about the crisis & breaking free from that endless loop.

Beating COVID-19 isn't just about more tests, masks, or things. Many of the problems that have tripped us up are conceptual. Magical thinking. False dichotomies. Conflating imperfect with useless. Blaming individuals over fixing systems. These errors of intuition cropped up in debates over masks, social-distancing, ventilation, and colleges. They’ll appear again when we have a vaccine. These errors aren’t unique to COVID-19. But they’ve been exacerbated by features of this particular pandemic, and by the people who are meant to lead the US out of it--but have instead made things much worse. Winter is coming. We must reset, and "adjust our thinking to match the problem before us," according to one sociologist I spoke to.

Throughout the year, I’ve tried to write pieces that help us make sense of this generation-defining crisis, deal with the constant gaslighting, see the bigger picture, and find structure amid uncertainty and complexity. I hope this new one helps.”

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/arch ... er/616204/
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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Medical supply chain collapse

Post by holley » Mon Oct 19, 2020 7:56 am

The Associated Press and FRONTLINE launched a 7-month investigation — filing Freedom of Information Act requests, testing medical masks, interviewing dozens of experts from hard-hit hospitals to the White House — to understand what was behind these critical shortages.

Medical supply chains that span oceans and continents are the fragile lifelines between raw materials and manufacturers overseas, and health care workers on COVID-19 front lines in the U.S. As link after link broke, the system fell apart.

This catastrophic collapse was one of the country’s most consequential failures to control the virus. And it wasn’t unexpected: For decades, politicians and corporate officials ignored warnings about the risks associated with America’s overdependence on foreign manufacturing, and a lack of adequate preparation at home, the AP and FRONTLINE found.

https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/arti ... umvKoBhLAM
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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What we knew and when we knew it

Post by holley » Mon Oct 26, 2020 5:02 pm

'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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near the end of the rope

Post by holley » Fri Nov 13, 2020 11:34 am

Ed Yong <[email protected]>
To: holleyweek
Last weekend, when Americans were reacting to election results, many doctors and nurses were working long ER shifts caring for COVID-19 patients. Many people have habituated to the horror of the pandemic. Health-care workers are still drowning in it. I wrote about what they are going through, how exhausted and scared they are, and what this third pandemic surge is doing to them. It’s not like the first two. It’s worse. It's wider. How much slack is left in the system? A nurse in Iowa told me: “There is none.”


The issue isn’t beds or ventilators. It’s people. In many states, there already aren’t enough nurses/docs to care for the incoming COVID-19 patients--who are among the sickest people they've ever had to treat. The good news is that death rates are lower now than March. But that’s partly because health-care workers are savvier and better at treating COVID-19. Those gains are not givens. They’re *contingent on people not burning out*. And people are. Some are working 36-hour shifts. Some have grown numb to how many bags they've zipped up. And the cavalry isn't coming. The first two surges were concentrated in specific areas, so hard-hit hospitals could call for help. The big difference this time: The third surge is everywhere. Reinforcements are scarce.

Biden’s win gave many health-care workers a second wind. Help is coming. A vaccine is coming. There is absolutely hope on the horizon. But it’s still *on the horizon* and everything from here to there is on fire. So here is the crux of it: The U.S. must flatten the curve again. In the next weeks, we will collectively decide how many Americans die before they can get a vaccine next year and how many health-care workers are broken in the process.

This applies not just to the U.S. but to many other countries.

Please read this piece. Please share it. Please save the people who save everyone else.
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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Overwhelmed

Post by holley » Fri Nov 20, 2020 5:55 pm

"Two years ago, while reporting on whether the U.S. is ready for the next pandemic, I travelled to Omaha to visit the University of Nebraska Medical Center. Why? Because more than any other hospital in America, it had prepared for the possibility of a pandemic. It built amazing facilities. Its staff anticipated, planned, drilled.

And now? “I don’t see how we avoid becoming overwhelmed,” one of their doctors told me this week.
In the past two weeks, the hospital had to convert an entire building into a COVID-19 tower, from the top down. It now has 10 COVID-19 units, each taking up an entire hospital floor. Three of the units provide intensive care to the very sickest people, several of whom die every day. One unit solely provides “comfort care” to COVID-19 patients who are certain to die. “We’ve never had to do anything like this,” Angela Hewlett, the infectious-disease specialist who directs the hospital’s COVID-19 team, told me. “We are on an absolutely catastrophic path.”

Hospitalizations lag behind cases by ~12 days. In the last 12 days, Nebraska’s cases have gone from 82,400 to 109,280. Even if no one else is infected, that surge WILL slam into already stretched hospitals over Thanksgiving. Then what?

This is happening throughout the Midwest, and in some other parts of the country. Not even the best-prepared hospital can compensate for an unchecked pandemic. UNMC’s preparations didn’t fail so much as the U.S. created a situation in which hospitals could not possibly succeed.

If you're in the U.S., please read this and understand the stakes of the next few days.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/arch ... ed/617156/

Stay safe. Keep everyone else safe."- Ed Jong
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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The Pandemic Safety Rule That Really Matters

Post by holley » Fri Nov 20, 2020 8:53 pm

Don’t spend time indoors with people outside your household.


https://www.theatlantic.com/health/arch ... ys/617122/
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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How Many Americans Are About To Die ?

Post by holley » Fri Nov 20, 2020 9:01 pm

“I expect the U.S. to be reporting over 2,000 deaths per day in three weeks’ time,”

https://www.theatlantic.com/science/arc ... ge/617150/
'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

holley
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Sorry to burst your bubble

Post by holley » Mon Nov 30, 2020 11:13 am

'Every Day is a god, each day a goddess and holiness pours forth in time."

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